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Dave25's blog

The "New NHL"

Wednesday July 02, 2008 @ 02:11 PM EDT

After the lockout that cost all of us the 2004-05 season, we kept hearing about the “New NHL”; a new game, a new way of doing business. There were new shiny rules and most significantly, a brand spanking new salary cap with which the owners would be able to keep the league running at a “profitable level”.


With some new rules and the different interpretations of already existing rules, the spending habits of the owners, as a whole, have not changed a bit.


Don’t get me wrong, I am not pointing the finger at any one or two owners / GMs, because it is not just one cavalier renegade that could be sending the NHL towards another showdown with the NHLPA come the completion of the 2010-11 season.


The NHLPA holds the right to re-open the agreement after the upcoming 2008-09 season, which I cannot fathom happening with some of the new contracts being inked over the past 24 hours.


The one classic example is Chicago, always a frugle team that would never be a major player in free agency, all of a sudden signs two free agents, defenseman Brian Campbell and goaltender Cristobal Huet. With the contract amounts, I’m sure that somewhere Bill Wirtz is rolling over in his grave.


Brian Campbell all of a sudden became dyslexic, as his $1.7 million per year deal has exploded into a ballooning $7.1 million per season.


Cristobal Huet was signed to a 4 year, $22.5 million deal with the Blackhawks. This for a netminder that will be 33 years old when the season starts, that has never gone deep into the playoffs at any time in his career.


At first glance, this appears to be an atrocity. What in the world is Dale Tallon thinking? Campbell and Huet are very good players & I do not begrudge any players finding a deal that is as good as they can get….because somewhere along the way when this kind of a situation comes along, someone will come out of the woodwork and over-spend. If Tallon hadn’t offered them these numbers, someone else would have.


Chicago will be a nice fit for “Soupy”, as he will anchor a young and upcoming defense on a very young and upcoming team. He will step right in and man the point on the power play and with talent the likes of Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews, Patrick Sharp, Martin Havlat & Robert Lang, he stands to put up some really impressive offensive numbers this season. But now that the Hawks are already $3 million over the cap for the upcoming year, someone will have to be offered up to trim the budget to comply with the cap. Most likely to go are Havlat or Lang.


And with Chicago’s vast improvement appearing to be well on the way to continuing next year, Huet should rack up some real impressive totals as well.


But take a look at the big picture and how the shape of the league is changing. There are teams like Detroit that can consistently keep their roster pretty much the same, with a few minor tweaks here and there. And they do that through good scouting, good drafting, and good development of their players. They are ready to jump in and fill any gaps that are created by replacing players that have retired, left as a free agent, or if a player’s level of play has dropped off significantly.


And then they’ll sign the occasional HUGE free agent, as they did today by inking Marian Hossa to a 1-year deal today.


But teams such as the Red Wings are not the norm and are very much in the minority. What is happening is that a team will take a few years at or near the bottom of the league standings, collecting a stable of top draft picks that then move into NHL superstardom very quickly, and then the real fun for the team’s GM begins. Look no further than the Pittsburgh Penguins as a perfect example, as Ray Shero could probably keep all of the phone companies in business over the next few weeks.


The problem becomes after the entry level deals start to get close to their expiration, of course the Sidney Crosby’s and Evgeni Malkin’s are due huge pay increases. And when a team has that much young talent all developing into top-level NHL stars at the same time, so comes the realization that the contracts are all going to be in need of super inflation in accordance with their development.


What happens is the teams really need to take a shot at the Stanley Cup right at the beginning of this cycle, and here’s why. As the Crosbys, Malkins, Kanes & Toews are playing incredibly and at their entry level salaries, this is the time to bring in other players via free agency that will possibly push your team over the top. What will happen is that the youth will continue to get better and better at the same time and the teams will not be able to keep all of them as their contracts come due.


But it looks like we’ll see teams over spending on a chance to win the big prize, and after they either succeed or fail, after a couple of years most of the players will be gone from their roster, with just the main core remaining to try and rebuild again. It’s a vicious cycle. No continuity from one year to the next, not a lot for the fans to identify with as they become familiar with players, only to see them sent packing shortly after. Kind of the A.D.D. or “short attention span” version of “The Coolest Game on Ice”.


And it’s been said that there will be no true NHL dynasty ever again, and I cannot see that statement being any more pertinent than today. The last dynasty was the Edmonton Oilers winning 5 Cups in 7 years from the mid-80s into the early 90s, but that was when the big money came into the game and started changing the face of hockey forever.


Yes folks, for better or for worse this is the “new NHL”. And as the owners continue to drive salaries and change upwards, lets hope that they don’t hold that against the players in the next couple of years with another lockout to correct their mistakes.

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  • epl9t1_thumb
    JuiceinLA
    Jul 02, 2008
    great blog

    nice analysis!

  • a7ij0x_thumb
    twentytwo
    Jul 02, 2008
    Welcome to a

    brave new world.


    Seriously I couldn’t handle yesterday with the amount of money thrown around $300m spent on the first day on UFAs alone. I may see no more than 5m at very very best in my entire lifetime. And that’s being extremely optomistic biggrin.png.

  • ao94ss_thumb
    Steel5586
    Jul 02, 2008
    Detroit Is The Gold Standard

    Solid treatment of players and their families, tremendous drafting (especially finding late round gems), great scouting, development and coaching. Every team, should be working off of the Red Wings blueprint.

    Big money will always be thrown at players in free agency, especially when the class is weak like this year. Great blog!

  • nopic
    HurriWing1
    Jul 02, 2008
    Detroit gets players for less because of this

    I agree with you that Detroit has been the exception rather than the rule in the way they tweak their lineups to replace players who retire. As you mentioned, scouting plays a big part in it. The other part is that they get the “Hockeytown Discount” because of the way they do business and the way they treat their players. Brad Stuart was looking at between $4 & $4.5 million per year on the open market but he likes it in Detroit, and it meant a lot to him that they allowed him to make a few trips back to LA around the time of the birth of his child, so he signed for $3.75. Hossa reportedly could have had $9 million per year elsewhere, but he will be a Red Wing for a year because he knows the organization will treat him well and give him a great opportunity to win the Stanley Cup. It was not difficult for the Wings to sign Datsyuk to a new contract and it probably will not be that difficult to sign Z to a new contract before the end of next year even though both potentially could get somebody else to overpay and throw 9 or 10 million per year their way. Chelios loves it in Detroit and has been re-signing one year contracts for 4 or 5 years for about $800,000. Holland has done a great job in letting everybody know that they are willing to pay for a good team, but they will not overpay for anybody. The Wings will make some financial sacrifices to keep a player if he is willing to sign for a little less in order to help keep the Wings a winner. All of this adds up to 17 straight trips to the playoffs with 4 Stanley Cups since ’96. That is as close as you will get to a dynasty in the salary cap era.

  • hiv3bl_thumb
    mchiconsky
    Jul 02, 2008
    Very good point

    The bidding wars continue and the price gets higher every year regardless of the cap or CBA. I’m boggled by the numbers some of these guys are getting. Your point that if Tallon hadn’t gone high for Campbell and Huet somebody else would have is sadly right on the money.

    But as for Bill Wirtz rolling over in his grave, he should send a big message back from beyond saying ’I’m sorry I choked the life out of this great franchise’. What he did in his pennypinching and narrowmindedness was as bad, if not worse than what’s going on now.

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